Tennessee football at Florida: Five best bets
1. Florida over 41.5 total points
If there’s one thing you can be sure of in this game, it’s that Tennessee football will allow the Gators to go over 41.5 total points alone. The Vols allowed Pitt to score 41 points, and Pitt has some offensive issues that Florida doesn’t have.
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Now, you could make the case that Florida, as a run-oriented offense, actually is designed to score less than Pitt, which relies exclusively on the passing game. However, the Gators are averaging 60 more yards a game and only run two fewer plays. Both are over 73, and Pitt’s play count is skewed since the Vols forced them to run 82 plays with their tempo.
That actually leads to our next point. Josh Heupel’s tempo will lead to a lot of Florida possessions. Our take that the Gators don’t cover is based on the idea that the Vols will score on enough of those possessions. However, there’s no doubt that Florida will score a lot with the extra chances.
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This team gained 440 yards and scored 29 points against Alabama last week. Anybody who looks at those stats knows they should easily break 41.5 against a far inferior defense that’s part of a team that runs lots of plays and keeps things up-tempo. Tennessee football is almost certain to allow Florida to score at will, so this is the best bet.