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Tennessee football vs. Ole Miss: Betting odds and prediction for NCAA Week game 7 Saturday game

By Caleb Calhoun

Sep 22, 2018; Knoxville, TN, USA; General view of Neyland Stadium during the fourth quarter of the game between the Florida Gators and the Tennessee Volunteers. Florida won 47 to 21. Mandatory Credit: Randy Sartin-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 22, 2018; Knoxville, TN, USA; General view of Neyland Stadium during the fourth quarter of the game between the Florida Gators and the Tennessee Volunteers. Florida won 47 to 21. Mandatory Credit: Randy Sartin-USA TODAY Sports /
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Get your popcorn. The two most high-potent offenses in the SEC will square off Saturday night when Tennessee football hosts the Ole Miss Rebels, and that’s not even the biggest storyline. Former UT head coach Lane Kiffin returning to Rocky Top holds that title.

The Vols will host Ole Miss coming off a 45-20 win over the South Carolina Gamecocks. At 4-2 overall and 2-1 in league play, they have scored 107 points in their last two SEC games combined, showing they’re truly beginning to pick up Josh Heupel’s offense in their first year under him.

Meanwhile, Ole Miss comes in ranked No. 13 in the AP Poll and No. 14 in the Coaches Poll at 4-1 and 1-1 in the SEC. They had a thrilling 52-51 win over the Arkansas Razorbacks last Saturday, a rebound from their blowout loss to the Alabama Crimson Tide. This is the first meeting between Tennessee football and Ole Miss since 2014.

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Ole Miss Rebels Week 7 odds

On the WynnBET Week 7 betting odds, Ole Miss is a 3-point favorite. The moneyline is set at Ole Miss -150 and Tennessee +130, and the over/under is set at 80.5. With both teams averaging over 40 points a game, the over/under is the most obvious. However, Ole Miss would have been favored by a lot more than three two weeks ago, a testament to the respect the Vols are gaining.

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Ole Miss Rebels prediction

Let’s start with this. Take the over. No matter what it was set at, that would have been the play. Tennessee football and Ole Miss are set to put up a basketball game Saturday night with Heupel and Kiffin going head to head, so expect points, points and more points.

There’s a strong case to make for the Vols on paper, and that case is their defense. While both teams have elite offenses, UT is only giving up 344 yards a game, ranked No. 45 nationally, and 21.5 points a game, ranked No. 37 nationally. Ole Miss gives up 432 yards a game, No. 102 nationally, and 31 points a game, No. 101 nationally.

However, Ole Miss does have a superior offense, scoring nearly five more points and gaining nearly 90 more yards a game. Add in the fact that they have played a tougher schedule overall while the Vols got to face two mediocre offenses in South Carolina and the Missouri Tigers, and those defensive numbers may be a bit skewed.

Taking all that into account, while the scoring will be wild in this game, the Rebels are the better team right now. The Vols won’t suffer the 34-3 thumping they did the last time they faced Ole Miss back in 2014, but they’ll still lose.

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Based on the trends, Tennessee football will provide a tease by jumping out to a two-score first-quarter lead. However, Ole Miss will get red hot in the second and then take control in the third. UT and Ole Miss will trade barbs in the fourth with the Vols never catching up, so take Ole Miss -3 and the Over 80.5. The score will look something like this: Ole Miss: 56 Tennessee: 51.

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