Tennessee football 2021-22 bowl game rooting guide: Vols’ path to top 25
R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl (Saturday, Dec. 18)
Marshall Thundering Herd over Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns
Billy Napier has left the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns for the Florida Gators, where he will now give Tennessee football trouble in a different way. However, he leaves a team that is 12-1 and just won the Sun Belt, which is resulting in it getting lots of love over lots of teams.
Louisiana is No. 23 in the CFP, No. 16 in the AP Poll and No. 17 in the Coaches Poll. Given their record and their ranking, conventional wisdom would suggest that, like BYU, there’s no way they drop below the Vols, even if UT wins and they lose.
Well, we should ignore conventional wisdom with Sun Belt teams. Louisiana losing their bowl to an unranked team could very well fall below Rocky Top at 8-5. More importantly, the quality of their loss would kill them, as it would come against a 7-5 C-USA team.
The Marshall Thundering Herd are 7-5. Even if they won this game, which would be more of a quality win than UT beating Purdue, they won’t leapfrog the Vols. You don’t put 8-5 C-USA teams over 8-5 SEC teams, no matter what. Given that record, this could be a bad enough loss for Louisiana, though, that it should drop them below UT.