Tennessee football’s history on College GameDay by the numbers
Record against the spread (all documented) vs. Florida on College GameDay: 2-3-2
Two straight years, the oddsmakers got the spread exactly right. Florida was favored by two in 1999 and four in 2000, and they won by two in 1999 and four in 2000. A year later, they embarrassed themselves with that 18.5 spread for Florida, and Tennessee football was a top five team. The Vols won that game 34-32.
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Since then, the spread has been off. They were wrong then, and then they were wrong the next two times this was on GameDay, in 2002 and 2012. It’s hard to know what the spread was in 1996, although since UT was higher ranked and at home, they probably weren’t anymore than six-point underdogs, so it’s likely they’re 2-4-2 against the spread.
Record in games as documented favorite vs. Florida : 1-2
Those two games the oddsmakers missed after 2001 were 2002 and 2012. The Vols were at home in both of them and lost by 17 in both of them. In 2002, they were at least the higher ranked team. They were the lower ranked team and on a seven-game losing streak in the series when they were favored in 2012.
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Still, Tennessee football did win against Florida in 2016 as the favored and higher ranked team at home. They exorcised a major demon doing that, and it could be a good sign for them coming into this game. However, the history of this series shows they need to be careful.