Tennessee football’s five best prop best for Kentucky

Oct 22, 2022; Knoxville, Tennessee, USA; A view of a new goal post during the first half of the game between the Tennessee Volunteers and the Tennessee Martin Skyhawks at Neyland Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Randy Sartin-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 22, 2022; Knoxville, Tennessee, USA; A view of a new goal post during the first half of the game between the Tennessee Volunteers and the Tennessee Martin Skyhawks at Neyland Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Randy Sartin-USA TODAY Sports /
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Oct 1, 2022; Oxford, Mississippi, USA; Kentucky Wildcats quarterback Will Levis (7) during the first half against the Mississippi Rebels at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Petre Thomas-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 1, 2022; Oxford, Mississippi, USA; Kentucky Wildcats quarterback Will Levis (7) during the first half against the Mississippi Rebels at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Petre Thomas-USA TODAY Sports /

2. Will Levis over 255.5 pass yards (-114 on FanDuel)

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change

He’s averaging over 270 passing yards a game, and Tennessee football is giving up over 300 yards a game. In fact, the Vols have given up over 300 yards to each of their last four opponents and over 400 yards to two of them. The basic stats show that they are going to give up quite a few yards to Will Levis.

Now, their pass rush will shut down a lot of what Levis can do, and if he gets hurt from that, all bets are off. However, assuming he plays the full game, he’ll go over 250 yards. If Kentucky is in any way in this game, it’ll be because Levis hit quite a few big plays over the top against the Vols’ secondary to keep it interesting.

However, if the Vols are blowing them out, Levis will still go over 250 yards, as Tim Banks will play soft coverage and force Kentucky to work the clock by converting lots of easy passes. That’ll lead to a meaningless 300-yard game. Either way, though, Levis will hit this mark.

Hendon Hooker’s over/under was set at 284.5, and given the take that he’ll have under 40.5 rushing yards, that would seem like a good bet. However, fewer possessions and more use of the run game will limit both his stats, so that’s just a bit too high. Levis going over this mark, though, is a safe bet.