It’s a 2 vs. 1 matchup in the AP Poll, but the oddsmakers just don’t seem to be too high on Tennessee football. Despite an 8-0 record, five wins against teams who were in the top 25 when they faced the and the best win of the season for any team, the Vols still can’t get enough love.
Tied with the Ohio State Buckeyes for No. 2 in the AP Poll and ranked No. 3 in the Coaches Poll, the Vols visit the No. 1 ranked Georgia Bulldogs . It’s the biggest regular season game in the history of the SEC East, beyond any matchup between UT and the Florida Gators back in the day.
UGA is 8-0 as well and has arguably the second best win of the year. While the Vols beat the Alabama Crimson Tide, the Dawgs beat an Oregon Ducks team that is now 7-1. Alabama may be better, but Tennessee football beat them 52-49, while Georgia destroyed Oregon 49-3. So what does this say in the betting markets.
Tennessee Volunteers at Georgia Bulldogs Week 10 odds
That Week 1 blowout of Oregon is outweighing the issues Georgia had with the Kent State Golden Flashes and the Missouri Tigers. Georgia is an 8.5-point favorite, according to WynnBET. That line has gone down some from earlier in the week, but it’s still basically two scores. The over/under is set at 66, and the moneyline is Georgia -295 and Tennessee +237.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change
Tennessee Volunteers at Georgia Bulldogs gambling analysis
A few factors are coming into play with this line. It’s fair to assume Georgia is significantly better and just struggles with lesser teams because they can turn it on whenever they want to and seem to get bored at times. Based on recruiting, Kirby Smart does have lots more talent.
Then there is the history aspect. The Vols have been awful for so long that it’s still hard to bet on them. Meanwhile, Georgia is on a five-game winning streak against them. Combine that with the game being in Athens, Ga., at Sanford Stadium, and you can see why UGA gets all the love.
Oh, Stetson Bennett is a factor too. Last week against Will Levis the Kentucky Wildcats notwithstanding, the Vols have had an awful pass defense, and Bennett has shown himself to be capable of torching such secondaries. UT gave up at least 300 yards in each of the previous four games and over 400 yards twice.
Early gambling take
Our prediction for this game will come later in the week. However, the line is overvaluing too many things. Even if Georgia can turn it on and off, that’s a bad habit to have when facing a veteran team like Tennessee football. History is irrelevant. Also, UT’s pass defense is much healthier, so last week may be the norm rather than a fluke.
Both teams are coming into this 3:30 p.m. ET CBS matchup off blowout wins, the Vols beating Kentucky 44-6 and Georgia beating Florida 42-20. However, there were no real concerns about Rocky Top’s victory, and many are concerned with the way Georgia looked at times against Florida.
This all may be just enough for Tennessee football to pull off the upset. However, while our prediction comes later, we can say take Tennessee +8.5 with these factors in play. Also, with UGA’s style and what the Vols have become on defense, actually take the Under 66, but not by much. The spread is a better bet.
If the Vols were taking on last year’s Georgia team, that 8.5-point line would be a good bet, even with this version of UT. However, Georgia is nowhere near the same team as that one, and after their national championship, they just don’t seem to be on as much of a mission.