Tennessee football: SEC and top 25 picks and bets for Week 12 of 2021

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Oct 23, 2010; Starkville, MS, USA; A general view of Wade Davis Stadium before the game between the UAB Blazers and the Mississippi State Bulldogs. Mandatory Credit: Marvin Gentry-USA TODAY Sports

Last week’s picks took a beating the way Tennessee football took one against the Georgia Bulldogs. To be fair, the slate of predictions did nail both the line, the over/under and obviously the outcome of that game specifically. But it was still bad overall against the WynnBET betting odds.

Week 11 performances (Click here to see last week’s picks)

  • Outright: 7-5
  • Moneyline: 6-5; Lost $315.34 if $100 bet on every game (-28.6%)
  • Gambling record: 10-12 (4-7 against the spread; 6-5 over/under)

Now, we’re barely above the profit margin gambling on the spread and the over/under, at 52.7 percent total, and we’re way under with the moneyline. No worries. There are two week of the regular season left plus conference championship week and bowl season.

2021 overall performances

  • Outright: 82-31
  • Moneyline: 62-30; Lost $526 if $100 bet on every game (-5.7%)
  • Gambling record: 106-95-3 (55-47 against the spread; 51-48-3 over/under)

On Saturday, all 14 SEC teams play. Six have non-conference games against, three against FCS schools, and the other eight play each other. We’ve also got two non-conference top 25 games, giving us 12 games overall and nine to bet on. As usual, we start with the worst game, go in order of schedule and end with Tennessee football. Here are the Week 12 SEC and top 25 picks and bets.

Tennessee State Tigers (5-5, 3-5) at Mississippi State Bulldogs (6-4, 4-3)

Saturday, Nov. 20 at Noon ET; Starkville, Miss.; ESPN+/SEC Network+

Looks like Mike Leach is the offensive version of Bill Belichick. He proved the Mississippi State Bulldogs arrived last week under him, leading them back from a 28-3 deficit to beat the Auburn Tigers. Now, ranked No. 25 in the College Football Playoff but unranked in both polls, he gets an easy chance to guarantee a winning season.

MSU will host Eddie George and the Tennessee State Tigers, an Ohio Valley Conference team, at Davis Wade Stadium Saturday. Obviously, the Egg Bowl next week against the Ole Miss Rebels will define their season, but they have to get past this game first.


With the Egg Bowl next week, MSU could be vulnerable and overlooking TSU. This isn’t the type of game where that will matter, though. TSU is below average by FCS standards, so MSU wins easily. Leach may squeak into the AP and Coaches Poll top 25 rankings next week, and remember, Tennessee football almost had him.

Mississippi State: 55 Tennessee State: 7

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