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Tennessee football: Ranking potential bowls by likelihood

By Caleb Calhoun

Nov 14, 2021; Nashville, Tennessee, USA; View of Nissan Stadium before the game between the Tennessee Titans and the New Orleans Saints. Mandatory Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 14, 2021; Nashville, Tennessee, USA; View of Nissan Stadium before the game between the Tennessee Titans and the New Orleans Saints. Mandatory Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports /
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Jan 27, 2018; Orlando, FL, USA; General overall view of Camping World Stadium and Lake Lorna Doone. The venue was opened in 1936 and was formerly known as Orlando Stadium (1936–1946), Tangerine Bowl (1947–1975), Citrus Bowl (1976), Orlando Stadium (1977–1982), Florida Citrus Bowl (1983–2013) and Orlando Citrus Bowl (2014–2016). The stadium will play host to the 2018 Pro Bowl on Jan 28, 2018. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Jan 27, 2018; Orlando, FL, USA; General overall view of Camping World Stadium and Lake Lorna Doone. The venue was opened in 1936 and was formerly known as Orlando Stadium (1936–1946), Tangerine Bowl (1947–1975), Citrus Bowl (1976), Orlando Stadium (1977–1982), Florida Citrus Bowl (1983–2013) and Orlando Citrus Bowl (2014–2016). The stadium will play host to the 2018 Pro Bowl on Jan 28, 2018. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports /

Tier 4: Extremely unlikely

7. Citrus Bowl (Jan. 1; Camping World Stadium; Orlando, Fla.)

This may be a crazy thought, but there’s actually an unlikely scenario in which Tennessee football goes to the best bowl outside of the New Years Six. With a payout of over $8 million, it’s obvious that the Vols would love to go here if they could.

Okay, here’s the scenario. The Alabama Crimson Tide beat the Georgia Bulldogs Saturday. That propels both teams to the College Football Playoff. Then the Ole Miss Rebels get the Sugar Bowl bid. Finally, a slew of upsets and unlikely scenarios result in the Arkansas Razorbacks, Texas A&M Aggies or Kentucky Wildcats somehow getting a New Years Six berth.

All of a sudden, the Vols could be competing with the other two teams. If Kentucky is one of those teams, well, they have a head-to-head case over Kentucky. Meanwhile, they finished higher in their division than A&M did in theirs and as high as the Hogs did, and they are a better draw than Arkansas given their fan base.

Taking that into account, you could theoretically see UT getting the invite. The Citrus Bowl is no longer contractually obligated to take the top non-New Years Six SEC team. This is the least likely scenario, but it could happen in a crazy way.

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